Mark Carney

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The latest ONS inflation data came out this morning, and it showed a huge jump in the 12-month Consumer Prices Index, rising to 2.9% in August, up from 2.6% in July. These increases were broad based, with prices for clothing and footwear, furniture and household goods and restaurants and hotels rising at their fastest rates since 2012 or earlier. Air fares also rose between July and August but the rise was smaller than between the same two months a year ago and so resulted in a partial…

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The BoE cut interest rates to a record low of 0.25% today as well as pumping £170bn of new money into the economy as a further stimulus package to prevent the UK falling into recession following the Brexit vote in June. The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee unanimously voted 9-0 to reduce rates by 0.25% cutting borrowing rates for the first time in 7 years. Forecasts for the growth of the UK economy were cut by the biggest single amount since regular forecast have been…

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Bank of England Governor Mark Carney dampened expectations on the timing of the first UK rate hike innearly a decade yesterday, predominantly citing the recent slowdown in China and other emerging market economies as the main reason. "The outlook for global growth has weakened since the August inflation report," the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee said in a statement. The BOE highlighted that it is, by no means, in any rush to raise its benchmark interest rate and v…

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While there is little doubt the BoE vote will result in an unchanged verdict on rates this afternoon, economists will be looking for signs in the minutes as to when the gradual policy tightening might begin. There are a few experts predicting another BoE rate setter is set to join Ian McCafferty to vote for a 25 basis-point hike this time around, however most will be looking for stronger indicators regarding the UK economy in the coming months before doing so. Inflation remains t…

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The Bank of England minutes for the MPC meeting ending on the 3June recorded that the committee voted unanimously (9 – 0) to leave interest rates unchanged at 0.50% and asset purchases (QE) at £375bn. Lower inflation is likely to dissipate, which is in line with previous comments from Mark Carney comments that the slowdown in inflation was transitory due to the sudden fall in energy prices. Any change from the MPC member voting from 9-0 would be seen as a signal that monetary pol…

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At the meeting the committee voted to leave interest rates and asset purchases (QE) unchanged at 0.50% and £375bn. Today’s release of the Minutes of MPC meeting 7 and 8 May 2015, were as analysts had expected that the members voted unanimously to stay unchanged. The headlines from the minutes were that two MPC members decision were “finely balanced” between unchanged and raising interest rates. The market impact from the minutes was minimal, the release was as the mar…

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The Bank of England has released the minutes of MPC meeting held on 8 and 9 April 2010. At the meeting the MPC members voted unanimously (9 -0) to leave interest unchanged at 0.50% and asset purchases (£375bn). Two of the MPC members regarded this month’s decision as finely balanced most likely Martin Weale and Ian McCafftery, who have previously dissented at the August 2014 meeting. The MPC remit is to target inflation at 2%, the most recent readings of CPI have been recor…

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The ONS has released the inflation data (CPI) for February, which has fallen to zero. Governor of the BoE Mark Carney had warned markets that in the near term inflation would fall, but in 12 months pick up quickly. The latest release from the ONS is the lowest level for CPI since inflation estimates began in 1988. The ONS release highlighted the slowdown in inflation to price movements in recreational goods, food and furnishings. This reading was key for policy makers as the primary impact f…

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Bank of England Minutes 9:30am At 9:30am London the Bank of England minutes for the MPC meeting held on the 4 and 5 March will be released. The expectation is that the members voted unanimously (9 - 0) to leave interest rates and asset purchases unchanged. Traders will be checking through the minutes of the meeting for any signals of the timing of the tightening of policy. This month is six years that the base interest rate has been held at the record low of 0.50%. Employment da…

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Governor of the Bank of the England spoke at the University of Sheffield Advanced Manufacturing Research Centre and dampened market expectations of policy tightening. Carney explained that the Bank expected interest rates to return to target (2%) within 2 years, which is significantly higher than January’s record low reading of 2%. The rhetoric from MPC members has been confusion for traders attempting to gauge the expected timeframe of policy tightening. UK interest rates have r…

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The Bank of England MPC has just announced (12.00pm London) that they have as expected left interest rates and asset purchases unchanged. The MPC has concluded their two day meeting, 7 and 8 January 2015. Current base interest rate: 0.5% Asset purchases (QE): £375bn The minutes for today’s MPC meeting will be released on Wednesday 21 2015. Traders will be eager to see if there has been a change in the committees voting split (previously 7 -2) and to disseminate…

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The Bank of England minutes for the MPC meeting held 5th and 6th November were less dovish than the market had expected with the split being the same as October. The MPC split was a 7-2 vote for interest rates to be left unchanged at 0.50%, with Weale and McCatherty voting for a 25bps rate rise. The committee voted 9-0 to leave the asset purchase (QE) programme at £375bn. GBPUSD Prior to the release of the minutes, sterling was offered to session lows around 1.5590, h…

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The Bank of England will release the Monetary Policy Committees minutes for the meeting on the 6th November. The MPC voted to leave interest rates at the record low of 0.50% and the quantitative easing asset purchase programme is £375bn. The announcement was as expected, with little effect to sterling in the FX markets. The October minutes showed the vote was 7-2, with the two dissenters being Ian McCafferty & Martin Weale. Traders will be watching today’s minutes for a…

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The UK economy had been showing strong signs of growth and looked as if it was exiting the financial crisis faster than markets had expected. However the timing of the Bank of England’s rate rise has become the focal point of traders. Expectations vary by analyst though the median expectation is the first half of 2015, though there had been some belief the BoE might act before the year end. Sunday Times Interview This weekend the Bank of England Governor did an interview wi…

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Bank of England released their quarterly inflation report this morning, with the prepared headlines of increased expectations of growth and employment figures putting a bid into Sterling. However the move was short lived, as details of a rate hike projection before year end almost diminished. GBP weakened on the back of comments made in the press conference, as Carney attempted to talk the pound down. With unemployment dropping rapidly, the focus for the BoE has now moved to wage growt…

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