Archive - September, 2013

Latest

The US government is nearly out of time to agree the necessary new spending bill before the financial year ends at midnight today on the final day of the 3rd Quarter. There is currently a political stalemate between the current government, the Democrats and the opposition the Republicans. It is hoped that a deal can be agreed as like in April 2011, following an 11th hour budget deal a government shutdown was avoided. President Obama has repeatedly stated that he will not compromise ove…

Continue Reading →

Sterling was given a boost in early trade as comments from the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney. The Governor had been making visits to cities in the North of England and was interviewed by local newspapers Thursday, as these comments reached traders on Friday morning Sterling jumped against the greenback by 80 cent to a session high of 1.6132. Quantitative Easing Analysts and market commentators have been quick to criticise to the timescale of policy tightenin…

Continue Reading →

The foreign exchange (FX) market is one of the most liquid tradable assets, with over $5 trillion of daily transactions. The market is decentralised and primarily traded over-the-counter (OTC) rather than exchange based. The FX market is popular for many reasons, though one important reason for individual traders is that it is open 24/6. This means that FX is tradable from Sunday night (Asian market open) continuously until Friday evening (US close). There is only a short period when FX isn&…

Continue Reading →

Abshire-Smith Global Ltd (“ASGL”) Part 1. Introduction 1. These Terms and Conditions form the basis of the traders’ live trading contest “Abshire-Smith Global Ltd - Trading Competition 2013”. The “Contest”. 2. Taking part in this contest constitutes acceptance of these terms along with ASGL’s Best Execution Policy, Client Agreement, Retail Client Protections Notice and also Risk Warning. ASGL “the Company” &…

Continue Reading →

The Abshire-Smith trading competition 2013 is for new live funded trading account with $4,000 in cash prizes to be won. To take part in the Abshire-Smith trading competition, complete a live trading account application. What are the steps to enter the competition? First step – Complete an application for a live trading account Second step – Fund your live Abshire-Smith trading account Final Step – Start trading in your live Abshire-Smith tradin…

Continue Reading →

The euro has retraced some of the move upwards against the dollar from last week, when Bernanke surprised markets and didn’t taper the Feds bond-buying programme. Tuesdays IFO Business climate index data from the powerhouse of Europe (Germany) was the highest since March 2012, but was below analysts’ expectations. Technical Outlook The pair is currently testing the 14.6% Fib with the RSI pointing higher, which could see the euro push back up towards the 8-month high r…

Continue Reading →

The UK financial regulatory body has evolved from the previous regulator, the Financial Services Authority (UK) into two separate regulatory authorities; the Financial Conduct Authority (www.FCA.org.uk) and the Prudential Regulation Authority (www.bankofengland.co.uk). Abshire-Smith was previously regulated by the FSA (UK), and is now regulated by the FCA. The company’s details can be located on the Financial Services Register. What has happened to the Financial Services Au…

Continue Reading →

Australia’s main trading partner is China, who imports a significant percentage of their raw materials from the mining nation, fuelling economic growth. The concerns over a Chinese economic slowdown from its double digit growth are an important driver for the Aussie currency. The HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index rose to 51.2 in September compared with a final reading of 50.1 in August. HSBC chief China economist Qu Hongbin: "The HSBC Flash China…

Continue Reading →

At the Wednesday announcement and the press conference the Federal Reserved surprised investors by holding the monthly stimulus at the current level of $85bn. The majority of analysts has expect the FOMC to vote to begin to taper at the September meeting, with the size being in dispute. The decision was released at 19:00 (London) with an accompanying statement followed by a press conference at 19:30 with Fed Chief, Ben Bernanke. The unchanged level of monthly bond-purchased had c…

Continue Reading →

Will the FOMC announce that they are to begin tapering their monthly bond-purchases today or not? At some point they will have to beginning tightening monetary policy as the endless supply of artificially cheap money would have negative consequences for the US economy. The FOMC has been meeting for the last two days and at 19:00 (London) the outcome of the meeting will be announced to the markets. Speculation and front running of the expected tapering has engrossed traders for the last…

Continue Reading →

Spot Gold Gold has been a favourite for traders recently, speculating as to when the Federal Reserve will begin to taper its monthly bond-purchases (QE). The tightening on monetary policy from the current level of $85 billion is expected to begin after this weeks (September 17-18) meeting. Analyst’s expectations are that the Fed will reduce its current level by $10-15 billion per month, from the current $85 billion of purchases. The precious metal has been seen as a hedge…

Continue Reading →

The UK unemployment rate has been brought into investors focuses following Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney’s Forward Guidance. He stated that the interest rates would be held at the record low of 0.50%, until the unemployment rate drops to 7% from the current 7.8%. The Bank of England’s forecasts that the unemployment rate will fall to 7% in 2016, though the markets are pricing an increase in interest rates in 2014. There are various caveats to the Forward Guida…

Continue Reading →

Technical Outlook Level of resistance 1.3888 (23.6% Fib retracement line) Major support at 1.3104 (50.0% Fib) supporting Thursday trading RSI is mid-range, currently point down, but could support a retest high Macro Outlook The euro has traded upto a week high against the greenback during the Asian session, coming off during the European trading. Trading has been focused around the potential military strikes from a US/French coalition following the alleged use o…

Continue Reading →

Technical Outlook Sterling has been bid in FX space in an upward channel for the last 2 weeks, within a bigger upward trend since the end of June. 1.5717 being the recent high was broken during the Asian session with the pair reaching 1.5732, the next level of resistance is likely to be 1.5751, which was the previous daily high on the 17th June. The RSI is relatively high (76.2) which could mean the pair is overbought in the short term, seeing some profit taking. Macr…

Continue Reading →

At 13:30 (London) the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the US employment report for August. Bank and broker estimates for US Non-Farm report for August: Morgan Stanley +190K Danske Bank +200K Lloyds TSB Bank +185K Standard Chartered Bank +200K Commerzbank AG +175K Wells Fargo & Co. +205K Credit Agricole CIB +160K Soc Gen +220K Moody’s +185K Goldman, Sachs & Co. +200K RBC Capital Markets +185K H…

Continue Reading →